Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.035006 0.041104 0.047425 0.054428 0.061932 0.069701 0.078319
2025-12-14 0.026764 0.035578 0.045249 0.056476 0.069000 0.082409 0.097729
2025-12-21 0.020740 0.031026 0.042907 0.057243 0.073734 0.091826 0.112917
2025-12-28 0.018372 0.030121 0.044218 0.061687 0.082189 0.105028 0.131980
2026-01-04 0.013798 0.025737 0.040811 0.060127 0.083345 0.109670 0.141164
2026-01-11 0.011265 0.023574 0.039801 0.061148 0.087275 0.117277 0.153523
2026-01-18 0.008965 0.021341 0.038422 0.061488 0.090209 0.123586 0.164268
2026-01-25 0.007143 0.019486 0.037321 0.062002 0.093215 0.129869 0.174888
2026-02-01 0.005465 0.017524 0.035861 0.061894 0.095333 0.135004 0.184089
2026-02-08 0.003500 0.014547 0.032655 0.059264 0.094136 0.136042 0.188367
2026-02-15 0.002356 0.012737 0.030954 0.058492 0.095159 0.139660 0.195606
2026-02-22 0.001716 0.011777 0.030443 0.059274 0.098108 0.145572 0.205534
2026-03-01 0.001218 0.011012 0.030263 0.060620 0.101955 0.152804 0.217326
2026-03-08 0.000920 0.010673 0.030758 0.062931 0.107090 0.161671 0.231149
2026-03-15 0.000547 0.009806 0.030265 0.063770 0.110266 0.168103 0.242040
2026-03-22 0.000557 0.010438 0.032413 0.068472 0.118557 0.180896 0.260616
2026-03-29 0.000168 0.008770 0.030303 0.066825 0.118361 0.183086 0.266350
2026-04-05 0.000056 0.008165 0.030059 0.067904 0.121772 0.189757 0.277495
2026-04-12 0.000001 0.007381 0.029375 0.068262 0.124178 0.195142 0.287058
2026-04-19 NaN 0.006717 0.028843 0.068805 0.126803 0.200783 0.296917
2026-04-26 NaN 0.005921 0.027926 0.068691 0.128490 0.205207 0.305264
2026-05-03 NaN 0.004520 0.025418 0.065914 0.126401 0.204747 0.307545
2026-05-10 NaN 0.003750 0.024183 0.065098 0.126984 0.207664 0.313952